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As Russian battlefield gains in Ukraine slow and personnel losses mount, the Kremlin is increasingly pressing its closest ally, Belarus, to play a more active role in supporting the war effort. The pressure is intensifying just as European allies of Ukraine are trying to coax President Aleksandr Lukashenko off the sidelines.
Belarus has been a vital staging ground for Russian forces since the invasion began in 2022. Russian troops used Belarusian territory to launch the initial assault on Kyiv. Although Belarus has not officially sent its own soldiers to fight, it has provided logistical support, weapons storage, and territory for training exercises.
According to Western intelligence officials, Moscow is now asking Minsk for direct military assistance — not merely logistical support. This could include the deployment of Belarusian units to occupied territories, or the supply of additional ammunition from Belarusian stockpiles.
For Lukashenko, the request is delicate. Direct involvement would mean entering the war as a co-belligerent, potentially exposing Belarus to Ukrainian counter-attacks and to deeper Western sanctions. But refusing Moscow could endanger the political and financial support that has kept his regime in power.
To falter — to lose strength or momentum. To coax — to persuade gently. Staging ground — area used to prepare military operations. Co-belligerent — a partner in waging war. Stockpile — accumulated supply. Counter-attack — military response to an attack.
Can a country remain neutral while providing significant support to one side? What are the dangers for a small country caught between great powers?
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